great racing all over the country this weekend, with some juicy plays for me on sunday at oak tree. here's my santa anita skinny, before scratches and changes, and a play or two across the country.
r2: texas hill. not sure what kind of price we'll get on this daughter of danehill, but i see only one horse to beat, the regally bred storm cat colt for b wayne hughes. i think that 70 beyer he earned was a little undervalued, so i look for him to improve. texas hill strikes me as a horse who will appreciate the removal of blinkers as he's had a little trouble relaxing in his first couple of route races. i look for him to settle and put in a strong late run in a race without that much speed.
r6: the dark knight. this horse ran well against some decent claimers at saratoga (he was a maiden vs. winners) and now meets his own kind here. he's not the most likely winner with the awful tony farina aboard, but with only but of course and i.r. wood to beat, he merits a small play.
r7: anabelly. this daughter of royal academy has always been well regarded by sahadi and returns from a long layoff sprinting. i'm convinced her future is routing on turf, so perhaps this is truly a prep in every sense of the word, but i won't pass up the opportunity if she gets away at 4/1 or better in this short field.
r8: lady annaliese. frankel has been cold by frankel standards of late, but i prefer 'lady over his other starter, silver yen. 'lady was very competitive in new zealand when facing stakes caliber females and gets to run on lasix for her stateside debut. i haven't seen the morning line, but i'm hoping we get a hint of a price on her as she looks to the class of this allowance field.
r9: ourwhistlebritches. the name is a mouthful, but with omar and the rail, i look for a send job in this otherwise moribund group of claiming fillies. i wouldn't go crazy, but the others just look down right slow.
r10: rosberg. i'm not a fan of harty and darley, but i got a hunch rosberg is going to run much much better today. the rail horse prechinatthebar has got a lot of hype in the baffert barn, so i expect him to take a lot of action- but the rail draw makes him a tad vulnerable if he breaks even half a step slow. rosberg, bred to be a superstar, may ultimately be destined for route races, but i think he's got enough speed to merit a look in here. 5/2 seems fair to me.
simulcast plays:
no play, but my choice for the BC Distaff, Sightseek runs today at blemont in the G1 Beldame. she'll be 1/5 so no play, but i almost hope she stubs her toe a little bit so i can get some price on her on BC day. with azeri's poor performance, my price on sightseek is going down down down.
r6 Keeneland- The Lane's End Breeders' Futurity: Victory Light. trainer elliott walden sends out two in here, but i like victory light who should haveno trouble transfering his turf form to dirt as he ran an absolutely huge race last time at woodbine from an awful post. well, the post here in no better, but that'll help our price. i hope pat day guides this one to the inside and makes a big run inside the 8th pole.
Keeneland race 9: Shadwell Mile. I got off touch of the blues just in time for him to beat me at 5/1 last time in the atto mile. well, i missed the wedding, i'm not showing up to the funeral. i'm backing inesperado. the frankel trainee ran huge last out in the wickerr, coming from the clouds and this one has always had talent up to his ears.
r2: texas hill. not sure what kind of price we'll get on this daughter of danehill, but i see only one horse to beat, the regally bred storm cat colt for b wayne hughes. i think that 70 beyer he earned was a little undervalued, so i look for him to improve. texas hill strikes me as a horse who will appreciate the removal of blinkers as he's had a little trouble relaxing in his first couple of route races. i look for him to settle and put in a strong late run in a race without that much speed.
r6: the dark knight. this horse ran well against some decent claimers at saratoga (he was a maiden vs. winners) and now meets his own kind here. he's not the most likely winner with the awful tony farina aboard, but with only but of course and i.r. wood to beat, he merits a small play.
r7: anabelly. this daughter of royal academy has always been well regarded by sahadi and returns from a long layoff sprinting. i'm convinced her future is routing on turf, so perhaps this is truly a prep in every sense of the word, but i won't pass up the opportunity if she gets away at 4/1 or better in this short field.
r8: lady annaliese. frankel has been cold by frankel standards of late, but i prefer 'lady over his other starter, silver yen. 'lady was very competitive in new zealand when facing stakes caliber females and gets to run on lasix for her stateside debut. i haven't seen the morning line, but i'm hoping we get a hint of a price on her as she looks to the class of this allowance field.
r9: ourwhistlebritches. the name is a mouthful, but with omar and the rail, i look for a send job in this otherwise moribund group of claiming fillies. i wouldn't go crazy, but the others just look down right slow.
r10: rosberg. i'm not a fan of harty and darley, but i got a hunch rosberg is going to run much much better today. the rail horse prechinatthebar has got a lot of hype in the baffert barn, so i expect him to take a lot of action- but the rail draw makes him a tad vulnerable if he breaks even half a step slow. rosberg, bred to be a superstar, may ultimately be destined for route races, but i think he's got enough speed to merit a look in here. 5/2 seems fair to me.
simulcast plays:
no play, but my choice for the BC Distaff, Sightseek runs today at blemont in the G1 Beldame. she'll be 1/5 so no play, but i almost hope she stubs her toe a little bit so i can get some price on her on BC day. with azeri's poor performance, my price on sightseek is going down down down.
r6 Keeneland- The Lane's End Breeders' Futurity: Victory Light. trainer elliott walden sends out two in here, but i like victory light who should haveno trouble transfering his turf form to dirt as he ran an absolutely huge race last time at woodbine from an awful post. well, the post here in no better, but that'll help our price. i hope pat day guides this one to the inside and makes a big run inside the 8th pole.
Keeneland race 9: Shadwell Mile. I got off touch of the blues just in time for him to beat me at 5/1 last time in the atto mile. well, i missed the wedding, i'm not showing up to the funeral. i'm backing inesperado. the frankel trainee ran huge last out in the wickerr, coming from the clouds and this one has always had talent up to his ears.
